Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 11.245989 12.538983 13.934110 15.553569 17.384527 19.393628 21.769522
2025-06-22 9.148984 10.856037 12.828726 15.285608 18.275569 21.811281 26.331362
2025-06-29 7.523296 9.420386 11.747477 14.831336 18.839455 23.911382 30.877126
2025-07-06 6.366592 8.364205 10.949483 14.574351 19.579460 26.325456 36.239358
2025-07-13 5.690774 7.816922 10.709555 14.987064 21.244135 30.206892 44.280397
2025-07-20 5.141684 7.355767 10.509362 15.408642 22.973281 34.452266 53.659819
2025-07-27 4.624224 6.862776 10.186608 15.589034 24.358062 38.401290 63.356166
2025-08-03 4.106096 6.296481 9.672169 15.387435 25.096551 41.435559 72.142047
2025-08-10 3.660783 5.783664 9.168814 15.120165 25.668163 44.264877 81.122610
2025-08-17 3.283560 5.332140 8.703359 14.841727 26.162395 47.019753 90.512159
2025-08-24 2.979199 4.964081 8.328752 14.662144 26.794087 50.113136 101.198981
2025-08-31 2.737517 4.674304 8.051516 14.614365 27.655022 53.775674 113.843793
2025-09-07 2.583767 4.527323 8.019440 15.040503 29.552372 59.948344 133.662123
2025-09-14 2.370978 4.250032 7.716752 14.900692 30.281916 63.823290 149.197221
2025-09-21 2.156475 3.946534 7.329956 14.539057 30.486193 66.593091 162.779359
2025-09-28 1.986029 3.708678 7.042473 14.342363 31.018915 70.213865 179.505538
2025-10-05 1.900584 3.627177 7.055028 14.787033 33.084585 77.896684 209.367314
2025-10-12 1.821647 3.549934 7.066611 15.230501 35.225959 86.218055 243.561542
2025-10-19 1.727017 3.430533 6.976016 15.428378 36.802436 93.413365 276.624428
2025-10-26 1.609105 3.250598 6.735813 15.242631 37.376247 98.026038 302.972161
2025-11-02 1.497078 3.072494 6.480799 14.987370 37.728029 102.100251 328.876833
2025-11-09 1.394483 2.905350 6.233094 14.717910 37.999953 106.013492 355.566686
2025-11-16 1.307807 2.765498 6.033452 14.544277 38.513004 110.779100 387.065801